The Grand Chessboard and the Future of Ukraine Peace Talks

It looks like the American version of The Grand Chessboard is not going as planned. Rather than Russia being defeated and dismembered, it’s winning, to the chagrin of the West. And they don’t know what to do.

The Real Objective of the Ukraine War

The whole objective of the Ukraine war has been to weaken Russia, sow division within Russian society, and eventually create regime change. The West’s whole history and its strength has been its ability to infiltrate and invade countries, to steal their resources and enslave their people, if not in actual slavery, then in debt slavery to Western banks.

The US/UK/NATO conglomerate thought that a combination of sanctioning Russia economically, the modern equivalent of siege warfare, where a city would be surrounded and starved into submission, as well as arming Ukraine to use as a battering ram, while not putting American, British or other NATO troops at risk, would be a successful strategy.

The idea was to attack China from it rear, and deprive China of Russian resources and support.

The Historic Suffering of Russia and China is Infinitely Greater Than Western Countries

Both Russia and China have suffered terribly from attacks by the West. Russia was invaded numerous times, and especially 1812 by a European force led by Napoleon’s France, in WWI. Again in 1918, following the Bolshevik Revolution by the US, UK, Japan, Czechoslovakia, France, Canada, Romania, and others. And again in 1941 by a coalition of Nazi Germany allies and vassal states.

In WWII alone, the USSR lost over 20 million people. And following WWII, the Collective West initiated the Cold War in 1946, and as the Cold War ended, NATO broke its promises not to expand, resulting in the current crisis.

During the 1990’s Russia lost several million people due to horrific economic conditions and social breakdown. The appearance of Vladimir Putin arrested that disaster and Russia is restored as a great power.

As for China, it suffered terribly following its loss in the Opium Wars, where opium was forced on the Chinese population following successful British attacks. In the 19th Century, China lost between 20 and 100 million people in the Taiping Rebellion. It was semi colonized by the USA, Japan, Germany, France.

In the 20th Century, Japan attacked China, resulting in another loss in excess of 20 million people.

So Russia and China have had a long history of catastrophic invasions by the West or imperial Japan. In the 1960s-1970s, Russia and China had a falling out of their cooperation as Socialist countries. Russia’s failure with fall of the Soviet Union was a warning to China not to befall Russia’s fate. And since 2000, Russia has been able to recover to a significant degree. But both countries have learned that they must support each other, or be driven apart and destroyed by the West, yet again.

Trump, the Peacemaker….Are You Kidding?

Now, Trump is making serious peace overtures to Russia. He even admits many truths about the plight of Russia historically. At the same time, China has been kept in the crosshairs for years. And now, the latest news:

The US State Department has dropped the language from its website regarding the “One China” policy that the island of Taiwan, whose legal name is The Republic of China, is a province, a part of China. This is a gross violation of the policy first put in place by President Nixon.

Basically, the United States has ‘thrown down the gauntlet’—in other words, declared war on China by breaking its word about Taiwan.

So what does this have to do with Ukraine? The US spends all together, its military, its spy agencies, the Energy Department, which is responsible for development of both nuclear energy AND nuclear weapons, well over a trillion dollars per year. It’s overextended with hundreds of military bases in about 100 countries.

And it’s been shoveling billions down the Ukraine rat hole. When the Trumpian real goal is to take down China, as suicidal and self defeating as that is.

Does Trump Really Love the Russian People?

And that is why Trump is making nice with Russia. Turns out that even the Corn Flake General Kellogg admits the plan to break Russia away from its alliances with China, Iran, North Korea. It worked with Henry Kissinger in the 1970’s with disastrous results for Russia, as well as disastrous results for countries like Iraq, Libya, Syria, Cuba which the Soviet Union supported until it fell apart.

However, it appears that the BRICS association of non Western nations understands how the West works. And the ‘Global Majority’ is getting strong enough to withstand Western imperialism.

Trump’s ending the USAID is due to the fact that it lost its efficacy. So the US will work out more surreptitious means of meddling in countries. And it wants to end the war in Ukraine to go after China.

My totally unprofessional prediction: Russia and China understand all this. So expect that Russia will ‘gladly engage’ in discussions with the US, the purpose being to string the US along, while Russia takes more and more of Ukraine, while bleeding the US/NATO. This will also tie the US up so that it doesn’t free up its resources to take on China.

Conclusion: Who Is Playing Whom?

Trump thinks he is playing Russia, but it’s really Putin’s Russia which is playing the doddering, sclerotic US Empire. Eventually the US economic system will collapse due to unpayable uncontrollable debt and its deep internal contradictions and conflicts. When that happens and the Oligarchs fall, we little people will suffer greatly, but Dynastic Change will end the US Empire, which was founded with the US Constitution, written of, by and for the superrich. At that point, the real American people’s revolution will have a chance to be realized, finally after 300 years.

Republished from Eric Arnow's Substack, with thanks!